Middle East Economic Outlook for Strategic Planning

Israel responded with alarm to both the U.S. choice to lift sanctions on Syria and President Trump's meeting with Ahmed al-Sharaa. Prime Minister Netanyahu apparently asked President Trump not to raise Syria sanctions in advance of Trump's trip to the region. Moreover, since the fall of the Assad regime in December 2024, Israel has been careful of the former jihadist now in control in Damascus.

It has actually also deployed troops in southern Syria, inhabiting an increasing area beyond the demilitarized zone separating the 2 nations. Going forward, Israel will stay wary of the Sharaa government and will likely continue to apply military pressure on Syria, consisting of a broadened profession of southern Syria and periodic air strikes.

Israel's openness to the Trump administration's efforts to broker a nonaggression pact between Israel and Syria stays an open question. Because the fall of Assad in December 2024, Saudi Arabia has actually lobbied hard for the United States to lift Syria sanctions, mentioning them as a crucial challenge to the nation's reconstruction.

For MBS, the U.S. decision stood as an essential triumph emerging from Trump's trip. Going forward, Saudi Arabia will likely encourage the United States to continue along its course towards normalization with Syria. It may push for the repeal of the Caesar sanctions, which need to be carried out by Congress. Riyadh might also push the United States to rein in Israel, needs to it continue with aggressive military action in Syria.

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, with no tip of a shift in policy. Going forward, Netanyahu can be expected to continue along the exact same trajectory in Gaza, particularly since a remarkable shift in U.S.

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On the contrary, as the international outcry worldwide ProtestVersus actions in Gaza grows and with an increasing number of U.S. allies moving to declare a Palestinian state, Israel is likely to entrench its position further, even more by the prospect of continued U.S. support.

Riyadh instantly declined Trump's proposition and repeated its rejection to normalize relations with Israel in the lack of significant progress toward the creation of a Palestinian state. The kingdom has also highly slammed Israel for the absence of sufficient aid flowing into Gaza. Following the August 22 famine statement, Saudi Arabia, while not calling out the United States, faulted the Israeli profession as the cause of the "humanitarian disaster" in Gaza.

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Its leading role in pushing for a two-state solution at the 80th UN General Assembly stands as its most popular effort in this regard. The kingdom will likely continue its behind-the-scenes lobbying of the United States to pressure Israel to relent on these needs, holding out on any development towards normalization with Israel in the lack of movement on these concerns.

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Its engagement in the Middle East is shaping the shapes of the emerging regional orderwhether by default or style. Specifically, its decisions on Iran, Syria, and Gaza all discuss core challenges in the area and hold the prospective to move each in a positive instructions. Hazard and deepening conflict stand on the flip side of each chance.

As international trade patterns realign, a new investment corridor is taking shape, linking capital from the Gulf to Latin America. Sovereign wealth funds, corporations, and household workplaces from the Gulf Cooperation Council ("") are investing billions throughout Latin America's energy, agriculture, fintech, and facilities sectors. Trade between Mexico and GCC states increased more than 33% in between 2021 and 2022, while non-oil trade with the UAE has almost doubled over the past decade.

3 Organization sentiment reflects this momentum64% of Latin American executives prepare to broaden engagement with the Gulf, specifically in agriculture, renewable energy, and digital services. 4 Highlighting this momentum, Saudi Arabia just recently opened its very first Chamber of Commerce workplace in Miami, further signaling the growing links between Gulf capital and the Americas.