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To reverse a decade of weakening overall factor performance, regional labour market policy is shifting from easy task production to handling active labor force shifts. Federal governments and companies are scaling short, modular training programs and micro-credentials in information analytics and digital operations to gear up workers for emerging roles. Workplace-based knowing and apprenticeship-style paths are ending up being more typical as companies integrate AI tools into day-to-day workflows.
With oil costs anticipated to average $55-60 per barrel in 2026, local governments are intensifying their concentrate on expenditure discipline and personal capital mobilisation. Fiscal policy is rotating toward the monetisation of state-owned assets in logistics, energies, and desalination to redirect funds towards higher-impact financial investments. While loaning via sukuk and sustainability-linked bonds is expected to increase to fund strategic deficits, the focus stays on strengthening non-oil profits frameworks.
PwC Middle East economic policy and strategy partner Jing Teow said: "Having currently mobilised capital and policy at scale, GCC federal governments are now concentrated on shipment. In 2026, the top priority is enhancing financial durability through more protected trade and financial investment relationships, efficient AI release, managed workforce shifts and disciplined fiscal policy in a more tough and fragmented worldwide environment.".
Saudi Arabia and UAE are poised to lead the Gulf area's economic growth in 2026, supported by strong private-sector efficiency, resistant domestic need and restored financial investment momentum, according to the current ICAEW Economic Insight Q4 2025 report, produced by Oxford Economics. The GCC is anticipated to surpass most global areas peers next year, with regional GDP projection to grow by 4.4%. Throughout the GCC, non-energy activity is forecasted to expand by 4.1% in 2026, driven by strong labour markets, improving credit conditions and increasing investment in innovation and AI-related infrastructure.
Although oil revenues will be under pressure in the first half of 2026, production is anticipated to rise once again in the second half of 2026, supporting the area's medium-term outlook, it mentioned. Saudi Arabia will remain a major factor to GCC momentum, with GDP projection to grow 4.3% in 2026.
Development will be supported by commercial growth and policy reforms, including reduced foreign ownership rules that aim to stimulate more financial investment. The financial deficit is forecasted to widen to 5.6% of GDP next year in the middle of softer oil costs, while the recent five-year rent freeze in Riyadh aims to reduce inflationary pressures, though it may constrain future real estate supply.
Strong domestic fundamentalsThe UAE is likewise positioned for another strong year of performance, with GDP projection to rise 5.6% in 2026 as non-oil sectors continue to expand. Tourism, trade and financial services remain key growth motorists, supported by population development and sustained domestic need. Dubai's economy grew 4.4% in the first half of 2025, showing broad-based non-oil strength.
Oil production is expected to pick up once again in the 2nd half of 2026, matching ongoing investment in infrastructure, technology and worldwide trade collaborations. Hanadi Khalife, the Head of Middle East, ICAEW, said: "This quarter's outlook strengthens how far the GCC has actually can be found in structure varied, resistant and internationally competitive economies.
Scott Livermore, ICAEW Economic Consultant, and Chief Economist and Handling Director, Oxford Economics Middle East, stated: "Saudi Arabia and the UAE are getting in 2026 with strong structures. Saudi non-oil activity is gaining rate, supported by robust need and increasing financial investment, even as financial pressures increase.""The UAE continues to gain from strong domestic basics, a sharp uplift in government costs and continual diversification efforts.
What identifies 2026 from preceding years is not merely the acceleration of technological modification, though that acceleration is real, however rather an essential shift in how business conceive of their GCCs' function. The is anticipated to grow to 4 hundred thirteen billion dollars by 2040, however this growth masks a more extensive transformation.
Instead, they ask whether these centers drive development, own profit-and-loss duty, and contribute to competitive distinction. In 2026, the most effective GCCs will act like internal start-ups, nimble, cross-functional, insight-driven, and deeply aligned with global service results. This shift from execution to ownership represents possibly the single most considerable strategic recalibration in the GCC design's evolution.
This week, we're convening more than 3000 meetings in between investors and 119 Gulf-listed companies with a combined worth of $2.4 trillion at the HSBC GCC Exchanges Conference 2026, in London. We're bringing together financiers, business, exchanges, and policymakers to discuss what is altering in the region, and what follows, consisting of the growth and ongoing development of the Gulf's capital markets, and the region's growing function in worldwide networks of capital and trade.
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