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Industrial Excellence: a Key Driver for Regional Success

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Business news and financial news, analysis, viewpoint and data covering the 6 Gulf Corporation Council members Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia and the UAE

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Financial development across the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) is set to accelerate in 2026, with the area predicted to outperform its 2025 efficiency in spite of muted oil earnings and ongoing global uncertainties. According to a new Oxford Economics research study instruction, GCC GDP growth is anticipated to rise to 4.4 per cent in 2026, up from 4 per cent in 2025, reflecting a durable nonenergy sector, strong customer characteristics, and gradually improving oil output.

However the most recent forecasts suggest that Gulf economies are now wellpositioned to regain momentum, buoyed by reinforcing domestic need and a broadly stable global background. The report highlights GCC customers as a major motorist of the area's economic efficiency heading into next year. Low inflation, robust labour markets, and growing real non reusable incomes are anticipated to fuel a surge in customer costs throughout the Gulf.

Credit growth is also forecast to remain elevated as access to monetary services broadens. With GCC main banks expected to follow expected United States Federal Reserve rate cuts due to the area's dollar pegs, obtaining costs are most likely to decrease, giving families and businesses even more inspiration to spend and invest. While the nonoil sector continues to anchor the region's durability, the GCC's hydrocarbon outlook presents a blended image.

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This could weigh on firsthalf development, particularly for economies more reliant on oil extraction. Oxford Economics predicts a rebound later in 2026, with Opec+ members expected to resume raising production as inventories tighten up and worldwide need enhances. Qatar, on the other hand, stands apart as a local outperformer, with significant growths in gas production and exports expected to raise its general financial performance.

Saudi Arabia's 2026 spending plan prepares for a 6 per cent cut in capital expenditure as the kingdom intends to narrow its financial deficit by two percentage points. The report notes that these cuts might not materialise completely if countercyclical spending measures are activated to support development. By contrast, more varied economies such as the UAE and Qatar are anticipated to continue advancing their advancement programs.

Regardless of shortterm dangers tied to oil prices and global need, the GCC's 2026 financial outlook is specified by strength in basics: durable consumers, robust nonenergy sectors, improving oil dynamics, and tactical financial preparation. With these aspects lining up, the region is getting ready for one of its most balanced durations of growth in recent years anchored by a clear upward trajectory in GDP development.

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RIYADH: Gulf Cooperation Council local economies are expected to remain resistant in 2026, driven by strong domestic need and a broadly steady global economy, according to an analysis. In its most current report, Oxford Economics highlighted that the genuine gdp of the GCC area is anticipated to expand by 4.4 percent in 2026, up from the forecasted 4 percent this year.

United States trade policy under President Donald Trump has had no notable impact on local growth, and non-energy sectors have sustained their robust momentum," said Oxford Economics. It added: "On the other hand, oil production has actually gradually increased, supplying a boost to the region's economies. We anticipate GCC growth will increase to 4.4 percent in 2026, from 4 percent this year."In November, the GCC Statistical Center said that economic development in the area is set to speed up to 4.3 percent by 2027, driven by expanding non-oil sectors.

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Non-oil activities accounted for 73.2 percent of total GDP, up from 70.6 percent at the end of 2024, highlighting the area's continued progress toward diversification. According to Oxford Economics, GCC consumers will be standout performers in 2026 and are anticipated to surpass their international peers. Oxford Economics stated that low inflation has helped secure growth in real disposable income, which has also been supported by strong demand and extremely low joblessness rates."We do not envision any let-up, as governments continue to promote greater foreign direct investment in their push to diversify their economies far from oil and gas," the report included.

In December, the IMF further stated that headline inflation is expected to remain below 2 percent in Bahrain, Oman, and Qatar, near 2 percent in the Kingdom and the UAE, and a little above 2 percent in Kuwait in 20252026. According to Oxford Economics, credit development is anticipated to remain raised in the GCC area during 2026, as access to monetary services is anticipated to grow and loaning is forecasted to be supported by more cuts in rates of interest."Owing to their currency pegs to the United States dollar, GCC reserve banks are anticipated to follow the US Federal Reserve by reducing monetary policy further, which in turn will decrease debt servicing costs and boost non reusable income and demand," stated the report.

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