Can Market Research Define Dubai Industrial Success?

Instead of marking a cyclical rebound, 2026 is progressively considered as a consolidation year, in which diversification-led growth ends up being more deeply ingrained in the region's financial model, reducing reliance on hydrocarbons and increasing resilience to external shocks. Projections from significant organizations broadly assemble on a more powerful GCC growth profile in 2026 than in 2025, supported by resilient domestic demand, continued non-oil growth, and (to differing degrees) a firmer hydrocarbon contribution.

ANSR July GCC PRs 50DR+

3.2 percent growth in 2025, accelerating to 4.5 percent in 2026. Sees momentum improving, with GCC output growth projected to rise from 1.7 percent in 2024 to 3.3 percent on average in 2025, showing a shift toward more positive overall conditions.

The IMF's World Economic Outlook (October 2025) tasks worldwide development reducing to 3.1 percent in 2026, with innovative economies around 1.5 percent and emerging market and developing economies simply above 4 percent. On that comparison, a 4.44.5 percent GCC growth would place the area materially ahead of the world average and slightly above (or broadly in line with) the emerging-market aggregate, strengthening the GCC's status as a relatively high-growth pocketprovided that regional danger conditions remain contained and reform momentum holds.

Information from the GCC Statistical Center reveal that non-oil sectors currently account for more than 73 percent of overall GDP, a share that has actually continued to increase as governments expand financial investment in services, facilities, and innovation. According to Oxford Economics, non-energy activity across the GCC is forecasted to grow by around 4.1 percent in 2026, supported by strong labor markets, improving credit conditions, and rising financial investment in innovation and AI-related infrastructure.

ANSR July GCC PRs 50DR+

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Public-sector investment and reform stay central to sustaining this pattern. Policy steps intended at attracting foreign direct investment, easing foreign ownership guidelines, broadening capital markets, and supporting private-sector involvement continue to underpin non-oil growth and minimize the area's exposure to oil price volatility. While hydrocarbons no longer control the growth outlook, oil revenues are anticipated to play a supportive role in 2026.

Oxford Economics anticipates Brent crude costs to fall below USD 60 per barrel in early 2026, restricting the near-term contribution of oil extraction to GDP. Nevertheless, oil supply is anticipated to increase once again in the 2nd half of the year, with a complete unwinding of remaining production caps likely by mid-2027.

ANSR July GCC PRs 50DR+

Macroeconomic conditions throughout the GCC remain broadly encouraging of development. Inflation is expected to stay low, with the IMF forecasting average inflation of 2 percent throughout the region in 2026. Steady rates are assisting maintain genuine household earnings and underpin customer spending, which Oxford Economics expects to grow by an average of 3.5 percent over 20262027.